Economics58 days left
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$40.3K
1,024 trades
Smart Whales
49
of 194 traders · 1 on both sides
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
5 MARKETS · $247.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
67¢−32¢$52.6K24/44Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−32¢67¢
$52.6K24/44
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
22¢+8¢$54.2K18/42Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+8¢22¢
$54.2K18/42
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
11¢+18¢$80.0K20/50Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+18¢11¢
$80.0K20/50
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs37 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$18 of $945 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $581·NO $346YES Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.5K(-87.4%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 31¢·11,556.2 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3313
$-3313INV $3.6K · WR 72.2%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 42¢·1,910.1 shares
Invested
$798
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-751
$-751INV $798 · WR 69.2%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3🥉
Entry 13¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
96.6%
Position P&L
$-302
$-302INV $375 · WR 96.6%
T
tinman2
Entry 22¢·434.7 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $97 · WR 65.9%
T
Te0n2
Entry 25¢·200 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $50 · WR 66.9%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 5¢·777.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $37 · WR 56.0%
P
puravida
Entry 2¢·908.1 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $22 · WR 59.9%
Q
qcp2hedged
Entry 8¢·114.8 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 65.1%
M
mapleggg
Entry 11¢·0.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 9 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.3K
Avg Win Rate
79.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.4K(+58.5%)
Whales
37
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 60¢·9,313.4 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$3532
+$3532INV $5.6K · WR 77.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 58¢·1,522.9 shares
Invested
$881
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$604
+$604INV $881 · WR 87.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 52¢·857.8 shares
Invested
$445
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$392
+$392INV $445 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 62¢·472.2 shares
Invested
$293
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $293 · WR 85.9%
M
merod
Entry 77¢·370 shares
Invested
$285
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $285 · WR 84.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 84¢·269.2 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $225 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 81¢·265 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $214 · WR 89.3%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 84¢·233.3 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $195 · WR 64.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 87¢·188.7 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $164 · WR 88.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 82¢·192.4 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $158 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 37
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