Economics54 days left
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$24.6K
648 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 116 traders
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
6 MARKETS · $352.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
69¢−31¢$86.3K30/50Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−31¢69¢
$86.3K30/50
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
19¢+11¢$92.3K20/46Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+11¢19¢
$92.3K20/46
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
9¢+18¢$93.7K23/61Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+18¢9¢
$93.7K23/61
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
3¢+27¢$54.0K19/44Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+27¢3¢
$54.0K19/44
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs38 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+4 new NO$104
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $953·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$947(-70.7%)
Whales
9
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 5¢·11,429.3 shares
Invested
$566
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-349
$-349INV $566 · WR 77.6%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3🥈
Entry 13¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
96.6%
Position P&L
$-324
$-324INV $375 · WR 96.6%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 27¢·1,011.7 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-258
$-258INV $277 · WR 69.3%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 2¢·5,188.7 shares·also $624 on NO
Invested
$108
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $108 · WR 72.1%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 11¢·63.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 59.8%
Q
qcp2
Entry 2¢·200.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 65.1%
P
puravida
Entry 4¢·12.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 7 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.1K
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.6K(+50.9%)
Whales
38
S
Single-Challenge🥇
Entry 99¢·1,082 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $1.1K · WR 65.0%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 53¢·1,989.8 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$898
+$898INV $1.1K · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 54¢·1,890.3 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$835
+$835INV $1.0K · WR 87.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 81¢·773.2 shares·also $108 on YES
Invested
$624
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$135
+$135INV $624 · WR 72.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·787 shares
Invested
$393
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$379
+$379INV $393 · WR 89.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 57¢·650 shares
Invested
$374
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$264
+$264INV $374 · WR 86.6%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·740 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $370 · WR 84.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 51¢·708 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$335
+$335INV $360 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 52¢·540 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$250
+$250INV $280 · WR 88.2%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 99¢·203.5 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $201 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 38
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