Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
YES Price
98¢
98% implied
NO Price
2¢
2% implied
Volume
$27.3K
464 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 121 traders
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $64.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs11 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 93%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$2.9K+24 new NO$417
$465 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.4K is directional: YES $3.4K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.4K(+90.6%)
Whales
9
F
Flipadelphia🥇
Entry 50¢·4,999.8 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$2402
+$2402INV $2.5K · WR 56.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 56¢·1,386.3 shares
Invested
$783
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$576
+$576INV $783 · WR 72.1%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 62¢·500 shares
Invested
$308
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$182
+$182INV $308 · WR 55.6%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 37¢·288 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$176
+$176INV $107 · WR 70.0%
H
hadarhaddadhedged
Entry 42¢·148 shares·also $82 on NO
Invested
$62
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $62 · WR 76.7%
A
arbmesh
Entry 98¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $24 · WR 68.0%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 57¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $17 · WR 72.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 13¢·14 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $2 · WR 79.6%
C
coypu
Entry 43¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$371
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$352(-94.8%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 39¢·266.6 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $105 · WR 88.0%
H
hadarhaddad🥈hedged
Entry 56¢·148 shares·also $62 on YES
Invested
$82
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $82 · WR 76.7%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 44¢·130 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $57 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 54¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $44 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 28¢·132.2 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $38 · WR 86.2%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 48¢·33 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 60.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 32¢·47 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 87.7%
M
mapleggg
Entry 67¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 86.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 48¢·13 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 89.2%
D
Delayed-Trooper
Entry 3¢·22.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 79.8%
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