Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$17.2K
419 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 116 traders
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
13 MARKETS · $64.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs15 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$309+17 new NO$1.6K
$257 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $109 is directional: YES $109·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$120
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$116(-96.6%)
Whales
5
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥇
Entry 25¢·301 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $75 · WR 70.9%
M
miiland🥈
Entry 30¢·100 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $30 · WR 55.0%
C
cloverpmq2🥉hedged
Entry 54¢·20 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 55.6%
J
johnashbough◆Proven
Entry 6¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 56.2%
C
coypu
Entry 35¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$636
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$358(+56.3%)
Whales
15
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 70¢·266.6 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $188 · WR 88.0%
N
nefariouskermit🥈
Entry 37¢·266 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $98 · WR 55.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 72¢·78 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $57 · WR 86.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 63¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $51 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 61¢·77 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $47 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 71¢·43 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $30 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $29 · WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 90¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 88.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 73¢·33 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $24 · WR 57.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 73¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $22 · WR 88.9%
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