Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 10%-15%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$3.9K

152 trades

Smart Whales

12

of 61 traders

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

13 MARKETS · $64.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

0¢+8¢$1.2K1/12

by 30% or more+8¢0¢

0¢+10¢$2.2K1/9

by 25%-30%+10¢0¢

0¢+9¢$1.4K1/10

by 20%-25%+9¢0¢

0¢+10¢$2.1K1/9

by 15%-20%+10¢0¢

0¢+8¢$3.9K1/11

by 10%-15%←+8¢0¢

2¢+10¢$9.1K2/15

by 5%-10%+10¢2¢

3¢+22¢$17.2K5/15

by 0%-5%+22¢3¢

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election

98¢−48¢$26.9K9/9

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election−48¢98¢

41¢−41¢$1080/1

by 12% or more−41¢41¢

18¢−18¢$1000/1

by 9%-12%−18¢18¢

44¢−44¢$1500/1

by 6%-9%−44¢44¢

38¢−38¢$1160/1

by 3%-6%−38¢38¢

39¢−39¢$1500/1

by 0%-3%−39¢39¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs11 NO

8%92%

92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges

+14 new YES$9+7 new NO$478

$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale3 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

55.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-93.3%)

Whales

1

Entry 1¢·20.9 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 55.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$645

Avg Win Rate

86.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$58(+9.0%)

Whales

11

Entry 92¢·266.6 shares

+$22INV $245 · WR 88.0%

smallreceipt🥈

Entry 99¢·90 shares

+$1INV $89 · WR 88.9%

Entry 99¢·81.6 shares

+$1INV $81 · WR 87.7%

Entry 84¢·70 shares

+$11INV $59 · WR 86.2%

Entry 70¢·57 shares

+$17INV $40 · WR 89.2%

Limping-Baggie-Technique

Entry 97¢·33 shares

+$1INV $32 · WR 60.2%

Enormous-Work-Longitude

Entry 99¢·31.6 shares

+$0INV $31 · WR 79.9%

Entry 96¢·30 shares

+$1INV $29 · WR 87.7%

Entry 87¢·20 shares

+$3INV $17 · WR 86.2%

Entry 97¢·13 shares

+$0INV $13 · WR 88.2%

Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 1194ms