Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$9.4K

260 trades

Smart Whales

18

of 93 traders

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

13 MARKETS · $66.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

0¢+14¢$1.2K2/12

by 30% or more+14¢0¢

0¢+17¢$2.2K2/10

by 25%-30%+17¢0¢

0¢+17¢$1.4K2/10

by 20%-25%+17¢0¢

0¢+20¢$2.1K2/8

by 15%-20%+20¢0¢

0¢+17¢$3.9K2/10

by 10%-15%+17¢0¢

0¢+17¢$9.4K3/15

by 5%-10%←+17¢0¢

0¢+26¢$17.4K5/14

by 0%-5%+26¢0¢

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election

100¢−47¢$27.3K10/9

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election−47¢100¢

2¢+48¢$2802/2

by 12% or more+48¢2¢

2¢+48¢$3251/1

by 9%-12%+48¢2¢

1¢−1¢$1610/3

by 6%-9%−1¢1¢

2¢+48¢$7321/1

by 3%-6%+48¢2¢

42¢−42¢$1500/2

by 0%-3%−42¢42¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs15 NO

17%83%

83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges

+12 new YES$7+7 new NO$293

$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale2 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $132 is directional: YES $33·NO $99

YES Team

Total Invested

$33

Avg Win Rate

57.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$32(-95.1%)

Whales

3

title1Proven🥇

Entry 10¢·291.5 shares

$-29INV $30 · WR 56.0%

Entry 26¢·12 shares

$-3INV $3 · WR 64.0%

Entry 1¢·59.6 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 96.3%

NO Team

Total Invested

$725

Avg Win Rate

84.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$169(+23.3%)

Whales

15

Entry 82¢·266.6 shares

+$46INV $220 · WR 87.6%

qwen300.fund🥈

Entry 93¢·122 shares

+$8INV $113 · WR 86.1%

northdrawer🥉

Entry 82¢·120 shares

+$22INV $98 · WR 87.6%

randomWalkingShrimpProven

Entry 71¢·100 shares

+$29INV $71 · WR 77.3%

Entry 85¢·81.7 shares

+$12INV $69 · WR 87.5%

Entry 80¢·60 shares

+$12INV $48 · WR 87.9%

PicklePredictor

Entry 93¢·30 shares

+$2INV $28 · WR 79.2%

Entry 73¢·30 shares

+$8INV $22 · WR 88.7%

Entry 50¢·39.8 shares

+$20INV $20 · WR 79.2%

Entry 89¢·11.2 shares

+$1INV $10 · WR 60.3%

Showing top 10 of 15

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 1402ms