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68 days left

Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
76¢
76% implied
NO Price
24¢
24% implied
Volume
$10.2K
266 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 105 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

22 MARKETS · $268.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs0 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 76¢
YES 100%NO 0%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 76¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 77%· net of hedges
+7 new YES+12 new NO
$263 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3NO 0one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 37h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $750 is directional: YES $750·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$750
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$69(+9.2%)
Whales
7
A
aviato🥇
Entry 82¢·549 shares
$-39INV $448 · WR 91.4%
C
Cheerful-Ephemera🥈
Entry 77¢·222 shares
$-5INV $171 · WR 74.5%
D
DREAMBIG.Proven🥉
Entry 80¢·57.4 shares
$-3INV $46 · WR 71.5%
D
doil
Entry 80¢·46.1 shares
$-3INV $37 · WR 72.7%
5
5tghfh67fghfsdt4356g
Entry 74¢·40 shares
+$0INV $30 · WR 61.0%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 8¢·178.9 shares
+$119INV $14 · WR 62.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 75¢·5 shares
$-0INV $4 · WR 68.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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