112 days left

Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

6¢

6% implied

NO Price

94¢

94% implied

Volume

$2.3K

138 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 61 traders

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

17 MARKETS · $43.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

"All of a Sudden"

36¢+14¢$7232/2

"All of a Sudden"+14¢36¢

"Avengers: Doomsday"

7¢+43¢$4071/1

"Avengers: Doomsday"+43¢7¢

12¢+26¢$7.8K3/5

"Digger"+26¢12¢

"Disclosure Day"←

6¢+14¢$2.3K1/4

"Disclosure Day"←+14¢6¢

"Dune: Part Three"

82¢−15¢$2.2K4/2

"Dune: Part Three"−15¢82¢

"Fatherland"—12¢

"La Bola Negra"

94¢−31¢$4.7K5/3

"La Bola Negra"−31¢94¢

14¢−14¢$1.8K0/1

"Michael"−14¢14¢

"Project Hail Mary"

81¢−14¢$2.1K6/3

"Project Hail Mary"−14¢81¢

"The Adventures of Cliff Booth"

16¢+34¢$2.2K3/3

"The Adventures of Cliff Booth"+34¢16¢

76¢+4¢$2.5K4/1

"The Debut"+4¢76¢

"The Drama"—13¢

"The Invite"—64¢

100¢—$3.6K0/0

"The Odyssey"—100¢

"The Social Reckoning"

11¢+49¢$4.7K3/2

"The Social Reckoning"+49¢11¢

"Wild Horse Nine"

88¢−31¢$6.0K4/3

"Wild Horse Nine"−31¢88¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs4 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $500 is directional: YES $196·NO $304

YES Team

Total Invested

$196

Avg Win Rate

60.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$170(-86.8%)

Whales

1

Entry 48¢·406.7 shares

$-170INV $196 · WR 60.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$304

Avg Win Rate

81.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$67(+22.0%)

Whales

4

Entry 93¢·123.9 shares

+$1INV $115 · WR 91.1%

Entry 96¢·104.7 shares

$-2INV $100 · WR 80.7%

Entry 52¢·145 shares

+$61INV $75 · WR 71.7%

5tghfh67fghfsdt4356g

Entry 60¢·22 shares

+$7INV $13 · WR 61.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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