112 days left

Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

50¢

50% implied

NO Price

50¢

50% implied

Volume

$939

80 trades

Smart Whales

2

of 34 traders

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

17 MARKETS · $43.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

"All of a Sudden"

36¢+14¢$7232/2

"All of a Sudden"+14¢36¢

"Avengers: Doomsday"

7¢+43¢$4071/1

"Avengers: Doomsday"+43¢7¢

12¢+26¢$7.8K3/5

"Digger"+26¢12¢

"Disclosure Day"

6¢+14¢$2.3K1/4

"Disclosure Day"+14¢6¢

"Dune: Part Three"

82¢−15¢$2.2K4/2

"Dune: Part Three"−15¢82¢

"Fatherland"—12¢

"Fjord"←0¢50¢

"La Bola Negra"

94¢−31¢$4.7K5/3

"La Bola Negra"−31¢94¢

14¢−14¢$1.8K0/1

"Michael"−14¢14¢

"Project Hail Mary"

81¢−14¢$2.1K6/3

"Project Hail Mary"−14¢81¢

"The Adventures of Cliff Booth"

16¢+34¢$2.2K3/3

"The Adventures of Cliff Booth"+34¢16¢

76¢+4¢$2.5K4/1

"The Debut"+4¢76¢

"The Drama"—13¢

"The Invite"—64¢

100¢—$3.6K0/0

"The Odyssey"—100¢

"The Social Reckoning"

11¢+49¢$4.7K3/2

"The Social Reckoning"+49¢11¢

"Wild Horse Nine"

88¢−31¢$6.0K4/3

"Wild Horse Nine"−31¢88¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs1 NO

50%50%

50% of smart money holding this market is on YES

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$2

Avg Win Rate

59.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+91.0%)

Whales

1

Entry 26¢·6 shares·also $8 on NO

+$1INV $2 · WR 59.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$8

Avg Win Rate

59.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$5(-60.4%)

Whales

1

Entry 126¢·6 shares·also $2 on YES

$-5INV $8 · WR 59.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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