112 days left

Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

76¢

76% implied

NO Price

24¢

24% implied

Volume

$2.5K

184 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 53 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

17 MARKETS · $43.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

"All of a Sudden"

36¢+14¢$7232/2

"All of a Sudden"+14¢36¢

"Avengers: Doomsday"

7¢+43¢$4071/1

"Avengers: Doomsday"+43¢7¢

12¢+26¢$7.8K3/5

"Digger"+26¢12¢

"Disclosure Day"

6¢+14¢$2.3K1/4

"Disclosure Day"+14¢6¢

"Dune: Part Three"

82¢−15¢$2.2K4/2

"Dune: Part Three"−15¢82¢

"Fatherland"—12¢

"La Bola Negra"

94¢−31¢$4.7K5/3

"La Bola Negra"−31¢94¢

14¢−14¢$1.8K0/1

"Michael"−14¢14¢

"Project Hail Mary"

81¢−14¢$2.1K6/3

"Project Hail Mary"−14¢81¢

"The Adventures of Cliff Booth"

16¢+34¢$2.2K3/3

"The Adventures of Cliff Booth"+34¢16¢

76¢+4¢$2.5K4/1

"The Debut"←+4¢76¢

"The Drama"—13¢

"The Invite"—64¢

100¢—$3.6K0/0

"The Odyssey"—100¢

"The Social Reckoning"

11¢+49¢$4.7K3/2

"The Social Reckoning"+49¢11¢

"Wild Horse Nine"

88¢−31¢$6.0K4/3

"Wild Horse Nine"−31¢88¢

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Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs1 NO

80%20%

80% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%

+2 new YES$32+3 new NO$24

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $418 is directional: YES $377·NO $41

YES Team

Total Invested

$386

Avg Win Rate

84.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$95(+24.7%)

Whales

4

Entry 83¢·313.8 shares

$-22INV $260 · WR 91.1%

Entry 80¢·129 shares

$-5INV $103 · WR 74.8%

HibernatingParasite🥉

Entry 8¢·178.9 shares

+$122INV $14 · WR 55.2%

Entry 75¢·11 shares

+$0INV $8 · WR 61.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$41

Avg Win Rate

57.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$5(-11.3%)

Whales

1

Entry 27¢·150 shares

$-5INV $41 · WR 57.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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