112 days left

Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

11¢

11% implied

NO Price

89¢

89% implied

Volume

$4.7K

276 trades

Smart Whales

of 63 traders

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

17 MARKETS · $43.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

"All of a Sudden"

36¢+14¢$7232/2

"All of a Sudden"+14¢36¢

$7232/2

"Avengers: Doomsday"

7¢+43¢$4071/1

"Avengers: Doomsday"+43¢7¢

"Disclosure Day"+14¢6¢

$2.3K1/4

"Dune: Part Three"

82¢−15¢$2.2K4/2

"Dune: Part Three"−15¢82¢

"La Bola Negra"−31¢94¢

"Project Hail Mary"−14¢81¢

$2.1K6/3

"The Adventures of Cliff Booth"

16¢+34¢$2.2K3/3

"The Adventures of Cliff Booth"+34¢16¢

"The Social Reckoning"←

11¢+49¢$4.7K3/2

"The Social Reckoning"←+49¢11¢

$4.7K3/2

"Wild Horse Nine"

88¢−31¢$6.0K4/3

"Wild Horse Nine"−31¢88¢

$6.0K4/3

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs2 NO

60%40%

60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%

+2 new YES$5+1 new NO$38

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $637 is directional: YES $140·NO $497

YES Team

Total Invested

$179

Avg Win Rate

71.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$124(-69.4%)

Whales

doil🥇

Entry 28¢·491.8 shares

$-88INV $140 · WR 74.8%

mskl🥈hedged

Entry 160¢·21.3 shares·also $17 on NO

$-32INV $34 · WR 59.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$514

Avg Win Rate

81.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$46(+8.9%)

Whales

HappyFamily🥇

Entry 82¢·604.2 shares

+$44INV $497 · WR 82.4%

mskl🥈hedged

Entry 80¢·21.3 shares·also $34 on YES

+$2INV $17 · WR 59.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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