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Geopolitics236 days left

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$82.1K
398 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 119 traders

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

4 MARKETS · $1.28M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs10 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 70%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$349+5 new NO$182
$121 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $832 is directional: YES $415·NO $416
YES Team
Total Invested
$649
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$49(+7.5%)
Whales
9
-
-BOB-🥇
Entry 65¢·196.4 shares
$-18INV $128 · WR 60.0%
T
TralaleloTralalala🥈
Entry 32¢·391.9 shares
+$93INV $127 · WR 56.4%
F
Full-Flatboat🥉
Entry 62¢·161.3 shares
$-10INV $100 · WR 58.0%
J
JJJAY
Entry 40¢·177 shares
+$28INV $71 · WR 61.1%
D
Diimaa
Entry 80¢·74.7 shares
$-19INV $60 · WR 61.8%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 54¢·100 shares
+$2INV $54 · WR 68.5%
A
Andrii1122
Entry 51¢·76.1 shares
+$3INV $39 · WR 65.9%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 175¢·20.2 shares·also $89 on NO
$-24INV $36 · WR 86.1%
S
SlavaRUKNY
Entry 65¢·53.8 shares
$-5INV $35 · WR 85.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka…