Possible-Alternative-Aluminum · Polymarket wallet 0x1bf5…ff5e

Wallet snapshot

Possible-Alternative-Aluminum has made 8,884 trades on Polymarket across 1,980 markets, $29K in volume. Most of it is in politics (22%) and geopolitics (17%). On 696 resolved markets the win rate is 76.6%, lifetime P&L +$211. It holds 437 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?No · $9 · 92¢ → 89¢
• Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Yes · $9 · 86¢ → 87¢
• Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?No · $8 · 86¢ → 84¢
• Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No · $7 · 89¢ → 90¢
• GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchNo · $6 · 61¢ → 62¢
• Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No · $6 · 59¢ → 61¢
• Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?No · $5 · 94¢ → 99¢
• Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No · $5 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Yes · $5 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?No · $5 · 94¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?No · +$0 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes · +$0 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?No · +$0 · Nov 2, 2026
• 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?No · -$2 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?No · -$4 · Nov 2, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$3 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.