20 days left
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$43.8K
1,715 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 211 traders
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
2 MARKETS · $81.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs35 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$2.6K+21 new NO$227
$256 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.4K is directional: YES $4.0K·NO $359YES Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+41.6%)
Whales
23
S
Sylvester.the.Cat🥇
Entry 66¢·2,999.7 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$789
+$789INV $2.0K · WR 71.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈
Entry 86¢·828.4 shares
Invested
$716
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $716 · WR 55.3%
M
mantou11🥉
Entry 57¢·776.2 shares
Invested
$441
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$277
+$277INV $441 · WR 56.7%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 52¢·676.3 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $351 · WR 67.8%
N
neverhackme
Entry 65¢·378.4 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $245 · WR 75.8%
U
Upbeat-Politician
Entry 71¢·159.4 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $113 · WR 73.9%
W
wert4
Entry 23¢·449.2 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$200
+$200INV $103 · WR 65.1%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 18¢·445 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$333
+$333INV $78 · WR 63.6%
B
big-bird1
Entry 73¢·16.9 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 68.4%
9
0x953ea795...
Entry 65¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 75.7%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
74.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.5K(-60.8%)
Whales
35
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·1,546.6 shares
Invested
$773
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-634
$-634INV $773 · WR 63.4%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 49¢·808.1 shares
Invested
$397
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-325
$-325INV $397 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 51¢·644 shares
Invested
$331
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-273
$-273INV $331 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 47¢·679 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-257
$-257INV $319 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 47¢·587.2 shares
Invested
$274
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-222
$-222INV $274 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·496.1 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-203
$-203INV $248 · WR 87.7%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven
Entry 66¢·358.1 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-209
$-209INV $236 · WR 59.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 65¢·258.5 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-144
$-144INV $168 · WR 79.2%
B
Bohemian
Entry 51¢·299.5 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $153 · WR 55.4%
A
Aggggaa12
Entry 41¢·283.8 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $116 · WR 72.5%
Showing top 10 of 35
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