Politics1 days left
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$33.4K
983 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 276 traders · 2 on both sides
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
7 MARKETS · $88.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs40 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+42 new YES$2.9K+84 new NO$5.7K
$2.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 28 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$38 of $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $680·NO $638YES Team
Total Invested
$699
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$651(-93.1%)
Whales
8
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 37¢·952.9 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-328
$-328INV $349 · WR 64.5%
A
alwayswinneverlose🥈
Entry 27¢·524.6 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $140 · WR 76.2%
G
Giorgio2🥉
Entry 21¢·474.7 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $99 · WR 74.4%
V
vinii
Entry 30¢·255.9 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $76 · WR 66.8%
C
copvinhedged
Entry 32¢·57.8 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 58.8%
C
Contestable-Parfait
Entry 30¢·50 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 55.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 2¢·60.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 80.3%
M
maniacitehedged
Entry 15¢·4.9 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+37.2%)
Whales
40
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 70¢·1,539.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$452
+$452INV $1.1K · WR 71.9%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever🥈
Entry 73¢·790.8 shares
Invested
$578
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$196
+$196INV $578 · WR 60.2%
A
anothercoin🥉
Entry 71¢·421.7 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $301 · WR 83.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 71¢·357 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $253 · WR 87.6%
C
cloudyartifact
Entry 75¢·315 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $236 · WR 78.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 65¢·332.9 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $217 · WR 86.1%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 80¢·206.7 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $166 · WR 60.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 60¢·199.9 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $120 · WR 87.9%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 71¢·156.6 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $111 · WR 60.3%
A
akroll
Entry 72¢·139.1 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $100 · WR 81.1%
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