Politics26 days left

Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

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YES Price

47¢

47% implied

NO Price

53¢

53% implied

Volume

$11.9K

553 trades

Smart Whales

of 152 traders

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

7 MARKETS · $25.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

National Party←

47¢−44¢$11.9K1/28

National Party←−44¢47¢

New Zealand First Party

1¢+6¢$1.7K2/28

New Zealand First Party+6¢1¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs29 NO

97%

97% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 59%

+1 new YES$2+1 new NO$3

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $279 is directional: YES $279·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$279

Avg Win Rate

65.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$84(+30.1%)

Whales

1walrus🥇

Entry 38¢·725.3 shares

+$84INV $279 · WR 65.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$804

Avg Win Rate

74.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$6(-0.7%)

Whales

$-70INV $236 · WR 79.0%

+$39INV $208 · WR 67.3%

gmgmgmgmg🥉

Entry 49¢·114.7 shares

+$5INV $56 · WR 79.2%

+$2INV $30 · WR 79.6%

+$6INV $26 · WR 87.7%

+$7INV $25 · WR 61.6%

e46m3

Entry 42¢·53.6 shares

+$6INV $22 · WR 79.6%

+$5INV $21 · WR 82.7%

+$1INV $20 · WR 89.0%

+$4INV $17 · WR 88.7%

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