Geopolitics80 days left
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$927.2K
7,495 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 1,315 traders
Iran leader end of 2026?
40 MARKETS · $39.95M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs53 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+3 new NO$27
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $294 is directional: YES $277·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$965
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$906(-93.9%)
Whales
24
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·663.8 shares·also $49 on NO
Invested
$655
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-653
$-653INV $655 · WR 57.7%
E
Eatpraylove🥈
Entry 3¢·5,277.9 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-119
$-119INV $137 · WR 72.8%
P
paaletee🥉
Entry 3¢·3,012.9 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $75 · WR 64.2%
B
bearbees2
Entry 4¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $44 · WR 86.5%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 2¢·1,155.8 shares·also $520 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $28 · WR 56.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 1¢·533.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 68.2%
C
Conscious-Pigeon
Entry 4¢·133.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 55.2%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 1¢·253.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 87.7%
M
Milin-dc
Entry 1¢·200 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.8%
L
LR1
Entry 1¢·236.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 62.8%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.1K
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.9K(+117.4%)
Whales
53
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 89¢·3,841.8 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$418
+$418INV $3.4K · WR 72.2%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 45¢·4,584.5 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$2493
+$2493INV $2.1K · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 76¢·807 shares
Invested
$611
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$193
+$193INV $611 · WR 88.7%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 87¢·684.2 shares
Invested
$596
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $596 · WR 85.8%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 93¢·560.2 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$520
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $520 · WR 56.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 99¢·490 shares
Invested
$484
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $484 · WR 87.7%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 61¢·421.4 shares
Invested
$257
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $257 · WR 83.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98¢·261 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $255 · WR 86.0%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 46¢·485.3 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$258
+$258INV $225 · WR 86.7%
B
betterfasterstronger
Entry 4¢·5,134.3 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
+$4906
+$4906INV $210 · WR 89.7%
Showing top 10 of 53
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