Economics80 days left
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$10.9K
411 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 157 traders
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
2 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs22 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.7K is directional: YES $4.7K·NO $39YES Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+33.1%)
Whales
18
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven🥇
Entry 89¢·1,574.1 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $1.4K · WR 79.2%
I
ImJustKen🥈
Entry 65¢·1,967.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$634
+$634INV $1.3K · WR 61.2%
J
jtradegbr🥉
Entry 97¢·1,012.5 shares
Invested
$985
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $985 · WR 76.2%
P
pako
Entry 85¢·575.7 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $488 · WR 68.3%
M
mombil◆Proven
Entry 65¢·220.7 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $143 · WR 60.4%
T
TheWolfOfPoly◆Proven
Entry 64¢·183 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $116 · WR 59.1%
P
puravida
Entry 31¢·342.7 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $105 · WR 59.9%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven
Entry 20¢·275 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$212
+$212INV $56 · WR 69.4%
T
The-Jokerhedged
Entry 25¢·174.1 shares·also $139 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $44 · WR 70.0%
1
11122
Entry 66¢·64.3 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $43 · WR 60.6%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-83.5%)
Whales
22
K
kanshifu🥇
Entry 90¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1048
$-1048INV $1.1K · WR 58.3%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 54¢·645.7 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-328
$-328INV $346 · WR 85.8%
P
podairpod🥉hedged
Entry 115¢·191.1 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$220
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $220 · WR 60.0%
T
The-Jokerhedged
Entry 80¢·174.1 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$139
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $139 · WR 70.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 16¢·479 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $77 · WR 79.6%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 36¢·98.8 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $36 · WR 87.7%
D
Doekhedged
Entry 99¢·35.1 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $35 · WR 58.3%
5
5atka
Entry 38¢·90 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $35 · WR 57.1%
B
0xb03b826a...hedged
Entry 80¢·30 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $24 · WR 90.1%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 46¢·50 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 87.6%
Showing top 10 of 22
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