Economics89 days left
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
YES Price
2Ā¢
2% implied
NO Price
98Ā¢
98% implied
Volume
$6.2K
220 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 85 traders
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
2 MARKETS Ā· $16.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs23 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars Ā· 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $367 is directional: YES $222Ā·NO $145YES Team
Total Invested
$297
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$259(-87.5%)
Whales
10
K
kanshifuš„
Entry 11Ā¢Ā·1,200 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $136 Ā· WR 58.3%
P
puravidaš„
Entry 22Ā¢Ā·296.1 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $64 Ā· WR 60.0%
L
LinaBellš„hedged
Entry 52Ā¢Ā·75.7 sharesĀ·also $18 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $39 Ā· WR 64.9%
B
0xb03b826a...hedged
Entry 71Ā¢Ā·41 sharesĀ·also $8 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $29 Ā· WR 90.1%
T
TronOG
Entry 30Ā¢Ā·71.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $21 Ā· WR 77.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 5Ā¢Ā·65.8 sharesĀ·also $52 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 Ā· WR 57.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 2Ā¢Ā·28.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 Ā· WR 67.0%
Showing top 7 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$768
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+195.8%)
Whales
23
I
influenz.ethš„
Entry 31Ā¢Ā·635.1 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$423
+$423INV $199 Ā· WR 85.8%
4
0x4e25605f...āProvenš„
Entry 79Ā¢Ā·176 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $139 Ā· WR 69.4%
I
ImJustKenš„
Entry 21Ā¢Ā·599.8 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$461
+$461INV $125 Ā· WR 61.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 79Ā¢Ā·65.8 sharesĀ·also $3 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $52 Ā· WR 57.8%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 49Ā¢Ā·98.8 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $49 Ā· WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 8Ā¢Ā·388.9 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$349
+$349INV $31 Ā· WR 79.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99Ā¢Ā·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 Ā· WR 89.3%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 42Ā¢Ā·60.9 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $25 Ā· WR 87.6%
P
paspor
Entry 79Ā¢Ā·27.7 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $22 Ā· WR 85.7%
L
LinaBellhedged
Entry 24Ā¢Ā·75.7 sharesĀ·also $39 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $18 Ā· WR 64.9%
Showing top 10 of 23
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 523ms