Economics89 days left
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
YES Price
98Ā¢
98% implied
NO Price
2Ā¢
2% implied
Volume
$10.8K
410 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 157 traders
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
2 MARKETS Ā· $16.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs22 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars Ā· 12 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $4.6K is directional: YES $4.6KĀ·NO $39YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+34.3%)
Whales
18
S
Sardonic-CueāProvenš„
Entry 89Ā¢Ā·1,574.1 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $1.4K Ā· WR 79.1%
I
ImJustKenš„
Entry 65Ā¢Ā·1,967.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$643
+$643INV $1.3K Ā· WR 61.3%
J
jtradegbrš„
Entry 97Ā¢Ā·942.2 shares
Invested
$917
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $917 Ā· WR 76.1%
P
pako
Entry 85Ā¢Ā·575.7 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $488 Ā· WR 68.3%
M
mombilāProven
Entry 65Ā¢Ā·220.7 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $143 Ā· WR 60.4%
T
TheWolfOfPolyāProven
Entry 64Ā¢Ā·183 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $116 Ā· WR 59.1%
P
puravida
Entry 31Ā¢Ā·342.7 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$230
+$230INV $105 Ā· WR 60.0%
4
0x4e25605f...āProven
Entry 20Ā¢Ā·275 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$213
+$213INV $56 Ā· WR 69.4%
T
The-Jokerhedged
Entry 25Ā¢Ā·174.1 sharesĀ·also $139 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $44 Ā· WR 70.2%
1
11122
Entry 66Ā¢Ā·64.3 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $43 Ā· WR 60.6%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-84.1%)
Whales
22
K
kanshifuš„
Entry 90Ā¢Ā·1,200 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1054
$-1054INV $1.1K Ā· WR 58.3%
I
influenz.ethš„
Entry 54Ā¢Ā·645.7 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-331
$-331INV $346 Ā· WR 85.8%
P
podairpodš„hedged
Entry 115Ā¢Ā·191.1 sharesĀ·also $40 on YES
Invested
$220
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $220 Ā· WR 60.0%
T
The-Jokerhedged
Entry 80Ā¢Ā·174.1 sharesĀ·also $44 on YES
Invested
$139
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $139 Ā· WR 70.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 16Ā¢Ā·479 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $77 Ā· WR 79.3%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 36Ā¢Ā·98.8 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $36 Ā· WR 87.6%
D
Doekhedged
Entry 99Ā¢Ā·35.1 sharesĀ·also $16 on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $35 Ā· WR 58.3%
5
5atka
Entry 38Ā¢Ā·90 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $35 Ā· WR 57.2%
B
0xb03b826a...hedged
Entry 80Ā¢Ā·30 sharesĀ·also $11 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $24 Ā· WR 90.1%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 46Ā¢Ā·50 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 Ā· WR 87.6%
Showing top 10 of 22
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