GeopoliticsResolved
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.90M
15,780 trades
Smart Whales
150
of 3,114 traders
Smart Money Consensus
55 YESvs95 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $139 is directional: YES $139·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$15.8K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.2K(-90.2%)
Whales
55
N
newnewuser🥇hedged
Entry 30¢·18,794 shares·also $13.5K on NO
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-5549
$-5549INV $5.5K · WR 61.7%
Q
qwerty12345678901🥈
Entry 50¢·5,071.2 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-2529
$-2529INV $2.5K · WR 64.3%
S
ScottyNooo🥉hedged
Entry 9¢·28,052.7 shares·also $7.8K on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-2475
$-2475INV $2.5K · WR 56.0%
G
GamblingDino
Entry 48¢·2,789.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-1343
$-1343INV $1.3K · WR 66.2%
B
BloodyMummer◆Proven
Entry 62¢·1,084.4 shares
Invested
$667
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-667
$-667INV $667 · WR 78.6%
T
Tarantino777
Entry 45¢·1,024.1 shares
Invested
$464
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-464
$-464INV $464 · WR 59.5%
C
Chegildekhedged
Entry 39¢·1,121.4 shares·also $686 on NO
Invested
$436
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-436
$-436INV $436 · WR 59.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 7¢·4,120.2 shares·also $4.1K on NO
Invested
$281
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-281
$-281INV $281 · WR 57.7%
T
Tenebrus7hedged
Entry 20¢·1,000 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$200
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $200 · WR 74.2%
K
kekw
Entry 15¢·926.4 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-138
$-138INV $138 · WR 69.3%
Showing top 10 of 55
NO Team
Total Invested
$147.8K
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$16.1K(+10.9%)
Whales
95
S
sameday1🥇
Entry 97¢·47,606.7 shares
Invested
$46.1K
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$1551
+$1551INV $46.1K · WR 59.0%
W
westminster🥈
Entry 90¢·26,741.5 shares
Invested
$24.0K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$2707
+$2707INV $24.0K · WR 57.4%
N
newnewuser🥉hedged
Entry 72¢·18,802 shares·also $5.5K on YES
Invested
$13.5K
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$5255
+$5255INV $13.5K · WR 61.7%
E
elreptil
Entry 94¢·13,062 shares
Invested
$12.3K
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$722
+$722INV $12.3K · WR 64.7%
P
PolBandit
Entry 95¢·10,600.3 shares
Invested
$10.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$530
+$530INV $10.1K · WR 87.7%
S
ScottyNooohedged
Entry 91¢·8,641.1 shares·also $2.5K on YES
Invested
$7.8K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$797
+$797INV $7.8K · WR 56.0%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 100¢·6,000 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $6.0K · WR 90.5%
V
Valen9
Entry 83¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$850
+$850INV $4.1K · WR 61.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 100¢·4,120.2 shares·also $281 on YES
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $4.1K · WR 57.7%
W
weaklei
Entry 100¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
93.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $2.0K · WR 93.2%
Showing top 10 of 95
Smart Whale Trades
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