weaklei · Polymarket wallet 0x99dd…4303

Wallet snapshot

weaklei has made 10,213 trades on Polymarket across 210 markets, $4.7M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (72%) and crypto (17%). On 206 resolved markets the win rate is 93.2%, lifetime P&L -$4,422. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $78K · 84¢ → 97¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $9,305 · 69¢ → 98¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $7,240 · 92¢ → 91¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $21 · 4¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · -$12 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes · -$598 · Sep 2, 2026
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes · -$5,654 · Jul 8, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$110 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$371 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes · -$16K · May 23, 2026
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No · +$45 · May 17, 2026
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No · +$31 · May 16, 2026
• Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?No · +$2 · May 15, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?No · +$1 · May 15, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.