GeopoliticsResolved
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$31.3K
631 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 181 traders
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs11 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $55 is directional: YES $0·NO $55YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$319(+11.5%)
Whales
10
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 93¢·1,045.6 shares
Invested
$976
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $976 · WR 57.7%
P
POLYCHEAT🥈
Entry 89¢·561 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $500 · WR 56.5%
E
elbowrivercasino🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·309.5 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$296
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $296 · WR 61.1%
P
Provably
Entry 89¢·300 shares
Invested
$267
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $267 · WR 68.2%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 83¢·268.5 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$222
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $222 · WR 56.3%
T
Trim-Caution
Entry 85¢·247.1 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $209 · WR 90.5%
M
melganis◆Proven
Entry 83¢·200 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $167 · WR 75.9%
D
DaveDD
Entry 85¢·101.8 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $87 · WR 71.6%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 84¢·45.3 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $38 · WR 56.8%
T
Te0n2
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 66.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$230
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$231(-100.0%)
Whales
11
E
elbowrivercasino🥇hedged
Entry 8¢·695.7 shares·also $296 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 61.1%
G
generalVR🥈
Entry 11¢·500 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 65.6%
R
Relaccsed🥉
Entry 9¢·445 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 56.7%
P
paperhandedfool
Entry 4¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 88.8%
G
GAMBLEMAX
Entry 2¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 66.7%
H
hbnva
Entry 6¢·109.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 55.4%
1
1walrus
Entry 1¢·600 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 65.1%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 9¢·40 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 56.8%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 28¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 75.7%
K
katanaAob
Entry 9¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.0%
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