elbowrivercasino · Polymarket wallet 0x938e…d242

Wallet snapshot

elbowrivercasino has made 5,107 trades on Polymarket across 554 markets, $400K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and politics (18%). On 524 resolved markets the win rate is 61.1%, lifetime P&L +$6,443. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Sep 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $41 · 79¢ → 85¢
• Blue wave in 2026?Yes · $22 · 71¢ → 86¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $7 · 29¢ → 15¢
• Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?No · $5 · 81¢ → 94¢
• Blue wave in 2026?No · $4 · 29¢ → 14¢
• Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No · $3 · 66¢ → 84¢
• Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes · $1 · 35¢ → 17¢
• Blue tsunami in 2026?No · $1 · 66¢ → 55¢
• Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes · $0 · 38¢ → 46¢
• Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?Yes · $0 · 9¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• 49ers vs. RamsNo · -$9 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes · +$4 · Jun 12, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Jun 7, 2026
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes · +$131 · Jun 2, 2026
• Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Yes · +$23 · Jun 1, 2026
• Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No · +$89 · Jun 1, 2026

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