Resolved
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in October 2025 (LS)?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$39.2K
482 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 214 traders
October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower strikes)
7 MARKETS · $41.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
28¢−28¢$2440/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−28¢28¢
$2440/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
42¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—42¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs46 NO
12%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$353
Avg Win Rate
55.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$281(-79.6%)
Whales
6
Y
yazhuixin🥇
Entry 98¢·273.8 shares
Invested
$269
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-269
$-269INV $269 · WR 55.8%
P
pippero◆Proven🥈
Entry 3¢·286.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 57.2%
R
Rr55◆Proven🥉
Entry 1¢·139.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 73.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 1¢·129.6 shares·also $126 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 4 of 6
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.7K(+88.7%)
Whales
46
C
Cookedtan◆Proven🥇
Entry 26¢·2,023.8 shares
Invested
$523
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$1501
+$1501INV $523 · WR 85.1%
T
tengfupo🥈
Entry 99¢·278 shares
Invested
$274
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $274 · WR 59.6%
M
mouchaoqiao🥉
Entry 98¢·275.8 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $271 · WR 63.3%
Z
zhitouchun
Entry 98¢·276.3 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $271 · WR 68.6%
A
aorenyou
Entry 98¢·273.9 shares
Invested
$269
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $269 · WR 58.9%
M
meipinpu
Entry 99¢·272 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $268 · WR 74.3%
H
huixingdong
Entry 98¢·272.5 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $268 · WR 63.3%
Z
ziqiaoyo
Entry 98¢·271.4 shares
Invested
$267
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $267 · WR 59.3%
L
lucongsi
Entry 98¢·270.9 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $266 · WR 66.7%
F
fenshixian
Entry 98¢·270.6 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $266 · WR 67.6%
Showing top 10 of 46
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