YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$778.6K
4,152 trades
Smart Whales
125
of 889 traders
January 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $780.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
33¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—33¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
57 YESvs68 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$51.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$49.8K(-96.9%)
Whales
57
9
9158🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·38,421.6 shares·also $538 on NO
Invested
$37.9K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-37883
$-37883INV $37.9K · WR 73.2%
G
gopfan2🥈hedged
Entry 67¢·6,156.6 shares·also $2.0K on NO
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-4148
$-4148INV $4.1K · WR 60.2%
K
Kapii◆Proven🥉
Entry 37¢·10,280.9 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-3846
$-3846INV $3.8K · WR 57.9%
E
ExhaustedBoyBilly
Entry 74¢·3,166.1 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-2358
$-2358INV $2.4K · WR 67.2%
Q
QQQ9000hedged
Entry 60¢·1,893 shares·also $8.0K on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-1138
$-1138INV $1.1K · WR 64.1%
L
lmueller
Entry 39¢·450 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-178
$-178INV $178 · WR 63.3%
C
Chrissistar04
Entry 37¢·301 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $112 · WR 75.2%
B
BeneGesseritVoice◆Proven
Entry 25¢·375 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $95 · WR 73.0%
K
KimJonEn
Entry 24¢·263.6 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $63 · WR 74.2%
R
risk-manager
Entry 0¢·1,177 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 73.6%
Showing top 10 of 57
NO Team
Total Invested
$29.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$343.5K(+1159.9%)
Whales
68
W
wokerjoesleeper🥇
Entry 34¢·33,127.8 shares
Invested
$11.2K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$21890
+$21890INV $11.2K · WR 87.6%
Q
QQQ9000🥈hedged
Entry 421¢·1,893 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-6067
$-6067INV $8.0K · WR 64.1%
G
gopfan2🥉hedged
Entry 24¢·8,330.1 shares·also $4.1K on YES
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$6357
+$6357INV $2.0K · WR 60.2%
2
235623451
Entry 53¢·1,774 shares
Invested
$944
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$830
+$830INV $944 · WR 86.6%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 0¢·239,313.5 shares
Invested
$891
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$238423
+$238423INV $891 · WR 74.6%
C
Cajetan◆Proven
Entry 94¢·915 shares
Invested
$861
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $861 · WR 84.7%
M
MakerOne
Entry 57¢·1,030.7 shares
Invested
$590
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$441
+$441INV $590 · WR 63.4%
D
dadadabababab◆Proven
Entry 47¢·1,164.3 shares
Invested
$543
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$621
+$621INV $543 · WR 82.1%
9
9158hedged
Entry 1¢·38,421.6 shares·also $37.9K on YES
Invested
$538
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$37884
+$37884INV $538 · WR 73.2%
R
retelev
Entry 36¢·590 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$377
+$377INV $213 · WR 79.3%
Showing top 10 of 68
Smart Whale Trades
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