Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in October 2025?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$72.5K
435 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 150 traders
October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $74.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
29¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—29¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs29 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
57.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.7K(-100.0%)
Whales
4
A
AdvantagePlayer🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·7,216.2 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-6701
$-6701INV $6.7K · WR 57.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged
Entry 1¢·900 shares·also $374 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 57.7%
S
Simon4s🥉
Entry 0¢·2,058 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 74.4%
A
Anne666
Entry 0¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.3K
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$24.7K(+264.1%)
Whales
29
M
Marketpoll🥇
Entry 94¢·8,650.3 shares
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$521
+$521INV $8.1K · WR 61.2%
R
rated🥈
Entry 22¢·2,990.4 shares
Invested
$644
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2347
+$2347INV $644 · WR 87.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 94¢·400 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$374
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $374 · WR 57.7%
S
shine
Entry 27¢·275.5 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $74 · WR 89.3%
N
NoMoreMister
Entry 11¢·351 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$314
+$314INV $37 · WR 88.4%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 13¢·128 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $16 · WR 89.0%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 1¢·1,152 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1136
+$1136INV $16 · WR 87.6%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 0¢·11,086.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$11075
+$11075INV $11 · WR 74.6%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 0¢·2,542.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$2532
+$2532INV $11 · WR 85.8%
T
Tysha
Entry 17¢·60 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $10 · WR 89.2%
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