Geopolitics257 days left
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.9K
476 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 77 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $175.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+12¢$3.5K2/15Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+12¢0¢
$3.5K2/15
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+19¢$6.6K4/17Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+19¢0¢
$6.6K4/17
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←
0¢+33¢$4.9K6/12Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←+33¢0¢
$4.9K6/12
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
3¢+23¢$48.0K13/37Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+23¢3¢
$48.0K13/37
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Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs11 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $189 is directional: YES $188·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$544
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$543(-99.8%)
Whales
7
L
LuckiestBets🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·424.2 shares·also $95 on NO
Invested
$356
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $356 · WR 75.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 17¢·1,020.7 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-170
$-170INV $170 · WR 87.7%
V
VictorLudorum🥉
Entry 17¢·50 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 88.1%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 2¢·235.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 63.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 17¢·18 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 59.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 17¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 84.5%
B
beatrix99
Entry 17¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 81.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$607
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+222.6%)
Whales
11
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 56¢·250 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $141 · WR 88.7%
L
LuckiestBets🥈hedged
Entry 24¢·402.2 shares·also $356 on YES
Invested
$95
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$307
+$307INV $95 · WR 75.6%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·184 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $92 · WR 86.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·162.1 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $81 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $60 · WR 72.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 58¢·100 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $58 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 8¢·660.3 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$609
+$609INV $51 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·59.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $30 · WR 85.8%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.9%
K
korda77
Entry 1¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $0 · WR 85.2%
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