Geopolitics257 days left
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$6.6K
520 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 93 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $175.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+12¢$3.5K2/15Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+12¢0¢
$3.5K2/15
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←
0¢+19¢$6.6K4/17Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←+19¢0¢
$6.6K4/17
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+33¢$4.9K6/12Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+33¢0¢
$4.9K6/12
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
3¢+23¢$48.0K13/37Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+23¢3¢
$48.0K13/37
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs16 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $210 is directional: YES $210·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$669
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$668(-99.9%)
Whales
5
L
LuckiestBets🥇hedged
Entry 77¢·596.1 shares·also $69 on NO
Invested
$459
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-459
$-459INV $459 · WR 75.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 17¢·1,205.2 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $201 · WR 87.7%
V
VictorLudorum🥉
Entry 17¢·50 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 88.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 17¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 84.5%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 0¢·62.7 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 63.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$392
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+386.2%)
Whales
16
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 33¢·239.1 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $80 · WR 86.0%
L
LuckiestBets🥈hedged
Entry 12¢·576.1 shares·also $459 on YES
Invested
$69
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$507
+$507INV $69 · WR 75.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 85¢·60 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $51 · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 8¢·660.3 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$609
+$609INV $51 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·94 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $47 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 52¢·80 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $42 · WR 87.7%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 57¢·27.3 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $16 · WR 63.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $12 · WR 89.3%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 50¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8 · WR 59.7%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 59.9%
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