GeopoliticsResolved
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.54M
4,891 trades
Smart Whales
196
of 1,013 traders · 7 on both sides
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
2 MARKETS · $1.54M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
98 YESvs105 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 65 YES vs 57 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$451 of $111.0K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $66.9K·NO $43.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$131.4K
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$116.1K(-88.3%)
Whales
98
A
aenews2◆Proven🥇
Entry 58¢·42,131.4 shares
Invested
$24.3K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-24328
$-24328INV $24.3K · WR 74.6%
W
Wickier◆Proven🥈
Entry 72¢·25,569.9 shares
Invested
$18.4K
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-18395
$-18395INV $18.4K · WR 60.7%
E
ED99999🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·25,357.4 shares·also $6.0K on NO
Invested
$16.6K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-16624
$-16624INV $16.6K · WR 73.6%
D
Dropper◆Proven
Entry 70¢·21,205.4 shares
Invested
$14.8K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-14843
$-14843INV $14.8K · WR 75.2%
M
mr.ozi◆Proven
Entry 75¢·13,702 shares
Invested
$10.3K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-10268
$-10268INV $10.3K · WR 71.4%
A
AgricultureSecretaryhedged
Entry 76¢·12,007.4 shares·also $12.4K on NO
Invested
$9.1K
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-9108
$-9108INV $9.1K · WR 91.2%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 73¢·9,614.1 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-7032
$-7032INV $7.0K · WR 56.0%
P
Parz1vaI
Entry 37¢·15,866.3 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-5903
$-5903INV $5.9K · WR 71.6%
L
LuckyPunch99hedged
Entry 77¢·3,563.3 shares·also $100 on NO
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-2737
$-2737INV $2.7K · WR 55.6%
H
Hospitable-Tool
Entry 75¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1491
$-1491INV $1.5K · WR 88.0%
Showing top 10 of 98
NO Team
Total Invested
$366.8K
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$19.0K(+5.2%)
Whales
105
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 100¢·120,304.5 shares
Invested
$120.1K
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$193
+$193INV $120.1K · WR 88.8%
K
kinderSman🥈
Entry 100¢·29,119.1 shares
Invested
$29.0K
Win Rate
96.1%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $29.0K · WR 96.1%
P
poorersob🥉
Entry 100¢·25,322 shares
Invested
$25.3K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $25.3K · WR 72.3%
T
thanksmom
Entry 100¢·24,444 shares
Invested
$24.4K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $24.4K · WR 87.0%
K
kukubaja◆Proven
Entry 100¢·20,005 shares
Invested
$20.0K
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $20.0K · WR 82.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 98¢·19,663.8 shares
Invested
$19.3K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$379
+$379INV $19.3K · WR 57.7%
B
Bertapotamous◆Proven
Entry 97¢·16,694 shares
Invested
$16.2K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$475
+$475INV $16.2K · WR 75.4%
Z
zb8
Entry 58¢·23,941.3 shares
Invested
$13.9K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$10033
+$10033INV $13.9K · WR 59.4%
A
AgricultureSecretaryhedged
Entry 104¢·12,007.4 shares·also $9.1K on YES
Invested
$12.4K
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-423
$-423INV $12.4K · WR 91.2%
T
Twin-Cupola
Entry 98¢·11,476.6 shares
Invested
$11.3K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$183
+$183INV $11.3K · WR 74.1%
Showing top 10 of 105
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 959ms