Tech/AIResolved
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$73.8K
873 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 322 traders
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs37 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$955
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$909(-95.1%)
Whales
16
C
Cloudy-Batting🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·500 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$487
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-487
$-487INV $487 · WR 60.8%
S
Shabbiryk🥈hedged
Entry 95¢·111.5 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $106 · WR 60.1%
G
garlictrump🥉hedged
Entry 98¢·100 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$98
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $98 · WR 80.9%
D
doggystyle999hedged
Entry 97¢·100 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$97
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $97 · WR 60.0%
C
cgbobby123
Entry 88¢·83.3 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $73 · WR 60.0%
R
Rumpelstiltskinhedged
Entry 9¢·300 shares·also $285 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 57.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 3¢·500 shares·also $284 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 57.7%
T
Thanevorhedged
Entry 2¢·250 shares·also $225 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 60.4%
Showing top 8 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.3K
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.4K(+124.0%)
Whales
37
T
tja◆Proven🥇
Entry 95¢·1,242 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $1.2K · WR 74.1%
Y
Yomba🥈
Entry 73¢·1,252.5 shares
Invested
$910
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$342
+$342INV $910 · WR 74.4%
D
Distinct-Kale🥉
Entry 63¢·768 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$283
+$283INV $485 · WR 65.2%
A
AIB◆Proven
Entry 74¢·432.1 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $319 · WR 62.5%
R
Rumpelstiltskinhedged
Entry 82¢·347.2 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$285
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $285 · WR 57.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 57¢·500 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$284
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$216
+$216INV $284 · WR 57.7%
T
Thanevorhedged
Entry 90¢·250 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$225
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $225 · WR 60.4%
B
BabyIBeenWatchingYou
Entry 14¢·1,360.6 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$1170
+$1170INV $190 · WR 65.7%
8
8396239287
Entry 88¢·170.7 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $150 · WR 65.8%
D
Dragontree◆Proven
Entry 4¢·1,736.6 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$1670
+$1670INV $67 · WR 67.4%
Showing top 10 of 37
Smart Whale Trades
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