8396239287 · Polymarket wallet 0x5d83…0bb9

Wallet snapshot

8396239287 has made 3,513 trades on Polymarket across 341 markets, $385K in volume. Most of it is in tech (45%) and politics (37%). On 339 resolved markets the win rate is 65.8%, lifetime P&L -$1,146. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Apr 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No · $373 · 71¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes · +$21 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No · -$452 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes · +$169 · Apr 1, 2026
• Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No · +$131 · Apr 1, 2026
• GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes · +$349 · Apr 1, 2026
• GPT-5.4 released by March 9?Yes · +$75 · Apr 1, 2026
• Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?No · +$714 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No · +$24 · Apr 1, 2026
• GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes · +$746 · Mar 5, 2026
• Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes · +$42 · Feb 17, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.