AIB · Polymarket wallet 0xf258…e4b0

+$1,964 lifetime P&L · 62.5% win rate · 64 resolved markets · 0xf258aeac542174ded6cbd78426fcc7dbf902e4b0

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Wallet snapshot

AIB has made 491 trades on Polymarket across 70 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in tech (64%) and crypto (29%). On 64 resolved markets the win rate is 62.5%, lifetime P&L +$1,964. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Feb 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $594 · 92¢ → 99¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $181 · 86¢ → 98¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $92 · 91¢ → 97¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $29 · 20¢ → 73¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $15 · 96¢ → 99¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 62¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$2 · Jul 10, 2026
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$127 · Jul 10, 2026
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$57 · Jul 10, 2026
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$3 · Jul 10, 2026
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$21 · Jul 10, 2026
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$6 · Jul 10, 2026
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?No · +$11 · Jul 10, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.