Politics47 days left
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?
YES Price
63¢
63% implied
NO Price
37¢
37% implied
Volume
$31.8K
568 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 170 traders
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
73 MARKETS · $330.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028
83¢−3¢$8.8K8/2Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028−3¢83¢
$8.8K8/2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028←
63¢−4¢$31.8K17/12Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028←−4¢63¢
$31.8K17/12
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028
95¢−17¢$12.5K7/2Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028−17¢95¢
$12.5K7/2
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028
78¢−45¢$6.4K2/4Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028−45¢78¢
$6.4K2/4
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028
89¢−26¢$9.2K5/3Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028−26¢89¢
$9.2K5/3
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028
18¢+32¢$1.1K1/1Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028+32¢18¢
$1.1K1/1
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028
57¢0¢$6.9K8/6Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 20280¢57¢
$6.9K8/6
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028
34¢−34¢$9920/4Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028−34¢34¢
$9920/4
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028
91¢+9¢$2.1K5/0Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028+9¢91¢
$2.1K5/0
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028
67¢+8¢$23.4K6/2Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028+8¢67¢
$23.4K6/2
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028
15¢+2¢$1.4K1/5Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028+2¢15¢
$1.4K1/5
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028
87¢−7¢$5.6K4/1Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028−7¢87¢
$5.6K4/1
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028
68¢+12¢$3.0K8/2Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028+12¢68¢
$3.0K8/2
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028
75¢−25¢$3.9K2/2Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028−25¢75¢
$3.9K2/2
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028
5¢−5¢$6.0K0/2Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028−5¢5¢
$6.0K0/2
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028
10¢−10¢$1.7K0/2Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028−10¢10¢
$1.7K0/2
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028
73¢+27¢$8733/0Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028+27¢73¢
$8733/0
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028
84¢+16¢$2.7K2/0Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028+16¢84¢
$2.7K2/0
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028
18¢−18¢$2.4K0/1Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028−18¢18¢
$2.4K0/1
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028
8¢−8¢$5.5K0/5Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028−8¢8¢
$5.5K0/5
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2028
16¢−16¢$1400/1Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2028−16¢16¢
$1400/1
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028
17¢−17¢$3.7K0/1Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028−17¢17¢
$3.7K0/1
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2028
27¢+40¢$2892/1Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2028+40¢27¢
$2892/1
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028
11¢−11¢$2.8K0/2Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028−11¢11¢
$2.8K0/2
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028
2¢−2¢$6340/4Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028−2¢2¢
$6340/4
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028
4¢−4¢$4.6K0/2Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028−4¢4¢
$4.6K0/2
Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028
18¢+15¢$1.9K1/2Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028+15¢18¢
$1.9K1/2
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028
10¢−10¢$3.2K0/1Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028−10¢10¢
$3.2K0/1
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028
45¢−45¢$2.6K0/1Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028−45¢45¢
$2.6K0/1
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028
8¢−8¢$7760/2Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028−8¢8¢
$7760/2
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028
13¢+7¢$7.3K1/4Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028+7¢13¢
$7.3K1/4
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028
13¢−13¢$1.6K0/1Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028−13¢13¢
$1.6K0/1
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028
10¢−10¢$2610/1Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028−10¢10¢
$2610/1
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028
8¢+17¢$2.1K2/6Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028+17¢8¢
$2.1K2/6
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028
16¢−16¢$1.1K0/3Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028−16¢16¢
$1.1K0/3
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028
13¢—$570/0Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028—13¢
$570/0
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028
30¢+20¢$4.5K4/4Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028+20¢30¢
$4.5K4/4
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2028
12¢—$250/0Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2028—12¢
$250/0
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028
10¢−10¢$5.7K0/2Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028−10¢10¢
$5.7K0/2
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028
11¢−11¢$6220/1Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028−11¢11¢
$6220/1
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028
72¢−5¢$13.1K6/3Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028−5¢72¢
$13.1K6/3
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028
59¢−39¢$10.7K2/8Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028−39¢59¢
$10.7K2/8
Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2028
20¢+30¢$9691/1Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2028+30¢20¢
$9691/1
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028
52¢—$9220/0Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028—52¢
$9220/0
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028
17¢+16¢$3.6K1/2Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028+16¢17¢
$3.6K1/2
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028
91¢−48¢$6.5K3/4Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028−48¢91¢
$6.5K3/4
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028
16¢+1¢$9091/5Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028+1¢16¢
$9091/5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028
9¢+11¢$1.7K1/4Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028+11¢9¢
$1.7K1/4
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2028
56¢+44¢$2191/0Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2028+44¢56¢
$2191/0
Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2028
19¢—$2410/0Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2028—19¢
$2410/0
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028
65¢−65¢$5170/1Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028−65¢65¢
$5170/1
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028
13¢−13¢$3330/1Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028−13¢13¢
$3330/1
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028
24¢−24¢$890/1Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028−24¢24¢
$890/1
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028
28¢−28¢$5.3K0/4Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028−28¢28¢
$5.3K0/4
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028
84¢−14¢$15.0K7/3Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028−14¢84¢
$15.0K7/3
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028
9¢−9¢$3.1K0/2Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028−9¢9¢
$3.1K0/2
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028
14¢−14¢$3780/1Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028−14¢14¢
$3780/1
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2028
20¢−20¢$310/1Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2028−20¢20¢
$310/1
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028
11¢−11¢$4900/3Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028−11¢11¢
$4900/3
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2028
17¢—$800/0Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2028—17¢
$800/0
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028
52¢+48¢$8742/0Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028+48¢52¢
$8742/0
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028
18¢+32¢$4.4K3/3Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028+32¢18¢
$4.4K3/3
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028
14¢+19¢$1.7K2/4Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028+19¢14¢
$1.7K2/4
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028
7¢—$6210/0Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028—7¢
$6210/0
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028
9¢−9¢$1.7K0/3Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028−9¢9¢
$1.7K0/3
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028
62¢−12¢$5322/2Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028−12¢62¢
$5322/2
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028
25¢−25¢$3.0K0/1Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028−25¢25¢
$3.0K0/1
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028
7¢+23¢$4.6K3/7Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028+23¢7¢
$4.6K3/7
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028
26¢+74¢$5581/0Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028+74¢26¢
$5581/0
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028
14¢−14¢$5010/2Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028−14¢14¢
$5010/2
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028
18¢—$6340/0Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028—18¢
$6340/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 63¢
YES 59%NO 41%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 63¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
$260
$113
+7 new YES · 4 smart whales+5 new NO · 1 smart whale
$76 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 5 · 6
YES 5NO 6one dot = one wallet
6 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 20h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.3K is directional: YES $4.8K·NO $3.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.9K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$429(+8.7%)
Whales
17
V
vinii◆Proven🥇
Entry 61¢·2,580.4 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $1.6K · WR 66.8%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven🥈
Entry 53¢·2,558.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
+$242
+$242INV $1.4K · WR 70.3%
F
froguser🥉
Entry 63¢·977 shares
Invested
$615
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $615 · WR 72.7%
I
insidero
Entry 58¢·804.2 shares
Invested
$466
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $466 · WR 74.1%
D
DFK
Entry 57¢·719.1 shares
Invested
$412
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $412 · WR 82.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 62¢·405 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $253 · WR 57.1%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 62¢·127.1 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$79
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $79 · WR 80.7%
1
1111ffffvvvvvhedged
Entry 26¢·198.6 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$52
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $52 · WR 75.0%
S
sharingan-kakashi◆Proven
Entry 58¢·78.5 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $46 · WR 91.4%
7
0x74d66b73...
Entry 63¢·24.6 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 70.2%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$208(-5.7%)
Whales
12
M
mombil◆Proven🥇
Entry 37¢·4,608.1 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $1.7K · WR 60.9%
D
DirkDiggler67◆Proven🥈
Entry 41¢·3,380.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $1.4K · WR 68.0%
H
HotDogs🥉
Entry 43¢·300 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $129 · WR 92.5%
F
FOW
Entry 49¢·200 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $98 · WR 55.7%
J
JonnyA
Entry 73¢·120 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $87 · WR 64.5%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 55¢·127.1 shares·also $79 on YES
Invested
$70
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $70 · WR 80.7%
1
1111ffffvvvvvhedged
Entry 31¢·198.6 shares·also $52 on YES
Invested
$61
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $61 · WR 75.0%
2
2020xb
Entry 38¢·79.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 62.2%
X
x26◆Proven
Entry 39¢·50 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 77.7%
S
Spherical-Fringe◆Proven
Entry 38¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 65.8%
Showing top 10 of 12
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