GeopoliticsResolved
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$20.5K
562 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 124 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
2 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs14 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $560 is directional: YES $200·NO $359YES Team
Total Invested
$287
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$227(-79.1%)
Whales
8
G
Glistening-Naming🥇
Entry 46¢·360 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $164 · WR 57.6%
Z
ZalphaAI🥈hedged
Entry 68¢·94.3 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$65
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $65 · WR 64.1%
V
Vibrant-Dragonfly🥉
Entry 61¢·28 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $17 · WR 79.2%
Q
Quantum777hedged
Entry 32¢·41.1 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 80.5%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 47¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 56.5%
S
stra-h22
Entry 97¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 80.8%
G
groth◆Proven
Entry 25¢·27.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 65.0%
M
Mabu1501
Entry 69¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 81.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$886(+51.8%)
Whales
14
R
rabbit007◆Proven🥇
Entry 71¢·1,347.6 shares
Invested
$951
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$396
+$396INV $951 · WR 61.2%
B
Babymunk🥈
Entry 64¢·304.2 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $195 · WR 78.0%
M
ms1910🥉
Entry 79¢·245.2 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $193 · WR 57.9%
S
sabsabinxz
Entry 55¢·244.6 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $134 · WR 65.9%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 45¢·217.7 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $99 · WR 61.5%
T
texture
Entry 98¢·45 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $44 · WR 92.7%
B
BAO95889
Entry 50¢·60.6 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $30 · WR 57.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 94¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $17 · WR 68.2%
Q
Quantum777hedged
Entry 24¢·59.3 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $14 · WR 80.5%
N
nefariouskermit
Entry 59¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $12 · WR 70.5%
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