GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$12.70M
62,154 trades
Smart Whales
413
of 10,790 traders

Smart Money Consensus

284 YESvs129 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $31.1K is directional: YES $8.4K·NO $22.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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