GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$160.2K
2,878 trades
Smart Whales
227
of 832 traders

Smart Money Consensus

161 YESvs66 NO
71%29%
71% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 122 YES vs 38 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14.2K is directional: YES $13.1K·NO $1.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 71% YES: US x Iran Effective Ceasefire…