Geopolitics15 days left

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?

YES Price
64¢
64% implied
NO Price
36¢
36% implied
Volume
$7.4K
225 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 85 traders

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs11 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 58%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$1.4K+27 new NO$1.0K
$216 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $1.0K·NO $1.2K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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