Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$83.0K
1,164 trades
Smart Whales
97
of 258 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
3 MARKETS · $335.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
49 YESvs48 NO
51%50%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 34 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$2.1K+24 new NO$89
$106 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.6K is directional: YES $9.4K·NO $205YES Team
Total Invested
$12.8K
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.1K(+71.0%)
Whales
49
C
C03B🥇
Entry 63¢·11,950 shares
Invested
$7.6K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$4342
+$4342INV $7.6K · WR 87.3%
M
MisTKy🥈
Entry 43¢·6,438.2 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$3664
+$3664INV $2.8K · WR 69.8%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 69¢·1,107.5 shares
Invested
$765
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$340
+$340INV $765 · WR 72.1%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 66¢·835.2 shares
Invested
$549
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$285
+$285INV $549 · WR 65.3%
H
Hellboy-winner
Entry 100¢·218.3 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $217 · WR 81.4%
N
neverhackme
Entry 68¢·227.1 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $154 · WR 75.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 68¢·227.1 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $154 · WR 87.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 75¢·144.2 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $108 · WR 60.2%
X
xinyuanhedged
Entry 62¢·161.3 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$100
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $100 · WR 76.1%
U
UbuntuTrading◆Proven
Entry 62¢·122.3 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $76 · WR 66.5%
Showing top 10 of 49
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.3K(-95.0%)
Whales
48
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 35¢·4,078.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1433
$-1433INV $1.4K · WR 79.6%
K
kaxel78🥈
Entry 44¢·1,737.8 shares
Invested
$756
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-753
$-753INV $756 · WR 85.3%
P
pollo07🥉
Entry 46¢·1,101.8 shares
Invested
$503
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-501
$-501INV $503 · WR 85.4%
L
Likaseent
Entry 46¢·1,048.6 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-485
$-485INV $487 · WR 81.8%
K
klli27
Entry 37¢·1,325.7 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-482
$-482INV $485 · WR 85.6%
Z
zerone777
Entry 37¢·1,311.5 shares
Invested
$479
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-477
$-477INV $479 · WR 84.4%
V
Vale54holi
Entry 47¢·778.2 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-365
$-365INV $366 · WR 83.9%
A
akroll
Entry 50¢·526.7 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-262
$-262INV $263 · WR 84.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 33¢·575.3 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $189 · WR 86.2%
A
Antony82
Entry 32¢·501.9 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-160
$-160INV $161 · WR 62.8%
Showing top 10 of 48
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