Tech/AI5 days left
Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$10.7K
385 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 99 traders
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
13 MARKETS · $103.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs6 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$3+2 new NO$49
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $317 is directional: YES $1·NO $316YES Team
Total Invested
$773
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$626(-81.0%)
Whales
6
J
jesusonxco96766🥇hedged
Entry 122¢·381.3 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$466
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-401
$-401INV $466 · WR 80.0%
N
NoTeacher🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·216.3 shares·also $57 on NO
Invested
$191
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-154
$-154INV $191 · WR 57.7%
S
SnapElectionAvoider🥉hedged
Entry 36¢·200 shares·also $137 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $72 · WR 63.1%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 84¢·50 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $42 · WR 58.3%
J
just-bettor
Entry 10¢·14.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 56.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 23¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$712
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$350(+49.2%)
Whales
6
V
vinii🥇
Entry 74¢·283.8 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $210 · WR 66.0%
J
jesusonxco96766🥈hedged
Entry 49¢·381.3 shares·also $466 on YES
Invested
$186
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $186 · WR 80.0%
S
SnapElectionAvoider🥉hedged
Entry 62¢·220.1 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$137
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $137 · WR 63.1%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 77¢·137.5 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $105 · WR 74.2%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 26¢·216.3 shares·also $191 on YES
Invested
$57
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $57 · WR 57.7%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 31¢·50 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $16 · WR 58.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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