Tech/AI40 days left
Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$5.9K
254 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 73 traders
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
13 MARKETS · $62.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs5 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$75+14 new NO$995
$84 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $389 is directional: YES $0·NO $389YES Team
Total Invested
$316
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$221(-69.9%)
Whales
5
N
NoTeacher🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·216.3 shares·also $57 on NO
Invested
$191
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $191 · WR 57.0%
I
InterestingUser🥈hedged
Entry 36¢·200 shares·also $137 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $72 · WR 64.0%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 84¢·50 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $42 · WR 56.6%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 23¢·46.1 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 65.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 23¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$645
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$217(+33.7%)
Whales
5
V
vinii🥇
Entry 76¢·511.1 shares
Invested
$389
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $389 · WR 65.6%
I
InterestingUser🥈hedged
Entry 62¢·220.1 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$137
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $137 · WR 64.0%
N
NoTeacher🥉hedged
Entry 26¢·216.3 shares·also $191 on YES
Invested
$57
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $57 · WR 57.0%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 77¢·60.1 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $46 · WR 65.2%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 31¢·50 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $16 · WR 56.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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