Tech/AI40 days left
ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$3.5K
90 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 39 traders · 1 on both sides
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
13 MARKETS · $58.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%
+1 new YES$2+2 new NO$23
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $642 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $638YES Team
Total Invested
$130
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$114(-88.0%)
Whales
3
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·137.5 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$126
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $126 · WR 65.6%
T
Tenebrus7🥈hedged
Entry 8¢·25.4 shares·also $496 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 74.3%
M
maomao228🥉hedged
Entry 10¢·20 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 65.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$705
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$149(+21.1%)
Whales
6
T
Tenebrus7🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·540 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$496
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $496 · WR 74.3%
N
nonkenny90🥈
Entry 90¢·160 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $145 · WR 90.8%
M
maomao228🥉hedged
Entry 92¢·40 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $37 · WR 65.2%
V
viniihedged
Entry 16¢·137.5 shares·also $126 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $21 · WR 65.6%
L
L2FLP
Entry 9¢·50 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $5 · WR 66.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 29¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 69.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 210ms