48 days left
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$37.8K
443 trades
Smart Whales
54
of 187 traders
Jensen Huang resigned or removed & Nvidia above $4T end of 2026?
2 MARKETS · $81.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs32 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 46¢
YES 41%NO 59%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 46¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
$4.1K
$5.9K
+44 new YES · 12 smart whales+46 new NO · 15 smart whales
$455 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ7 of 8 on YES
YES 7NO 1one dot = one wallet
7 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 44h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.9K is directional: YES $3.2K·NO $3.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$314(+9.7%)
Whales
22
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥇
Entry 43¢·3,185.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $1.4K · WR 59.1%
O
Optimus-◆Proven🥈
Entry 39¢·2,001.1 shares
Invested
$781
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $781 · WR 61.6%
G
groth◆Proven🥉
Entry 40¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $400 · WR 63.9%
C
ChileCongo
Entry 42¢·700 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $292 · WR 76.1%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 43¢·500 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $215 · WR 56.1%
G
guh56
Entry 43¢·69.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 79.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 39¢·60 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $23 · WR 79.6%
T
trader-9b779399
Entry 42¢·55 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 60.2%
C
Careerchanger
Entry 56¢·36.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $20 · WR 79.5%
C
Clever-Copy
Entry 41¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$266(-4.0%)
Whales
32
T
TBill1🥇
Entry 56¢·2,866.6 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $1.6K · WR 55.3%
P
puravida🥈
Entry 55¢·1,999.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1.1K · WR 59.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 60¢·1,013.2 shares
Invested
$608
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $608 · WR 79.2%
V
Vale54holi
Entry 61¢·512.1 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $311 · WR 80.0%
Z
zerone777
Entry 61¢·508.6 shares
Invested
$309
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $309 · WR 80.6%
L
Likaseent
Entry 60¢·431 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $261 · WR 78.5%
T
troyjacksonsuperfan
Entry 50¢·506.5 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $253 · WR 66.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 59¢·426.1 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $250 · WR 87.7%
M
merod
Entry 54¢·420 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $225 · WR 83.4%
A
anothercoin
Entry 60¢·361.6 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $219 · WR 84.6%
Showing top 10 of 32
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