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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
59¢
59% implied
NO Price
41¢
41% implied
Volume
$3.0K
137 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 77 traders · 2 on both sides

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $11.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs16 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 59¢
YES 30%NO 70%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 59¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+43 new YES · 7 smart whales+46 new NO · 16 smart whales
$413 bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 3 · 2
YES 3NO 2one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 25h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$43 of $190 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $82·NO $65
YES Team
Total Invested
$104
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$57(+54.5%)
Whales
7
K
kerbrerv🥇
Entry 51¢·109.4 shares
+$9INV $55 · WR 61.3%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥈hedged
Entry 38¢·40 shares·also $38 on NO
+$8INV $15 · WR 57.3%
T
TakeYourTemperature🥉
Entry 32¢·40 shares
+$11INV $13 · WR 69.3%
C
crabravehedged
Entry 41¢·27.2 shares·also $6 on NO
+$5INV $11 · WR 61.7%
B
bkvirendra
Entry 41¢·12.5 shares
+$2INV $5 · WR 58.4%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·40 shares
+$20INV $4 · WR 70.9%
G
General-Appearance
Entry 9¢·5 shares
+$2INV $0 · WR 88.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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