2 days left
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 15?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$1.9K
83 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 35 traders
Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 51°F or below on November 15
0¢—$350/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 51°F or below on November 15—0¢
$350/0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on November 15
0¢—$380/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on November 15—0¢
$380/0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on November 15
0¢—$850/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on November 15—0¢
$850/0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on November 15
0¢—$3120/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on November 15—0¢
$3120/0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on November 15
1¢—$3190/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on November 15—1¢
$3190/0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on November 15
2¢—$3850/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on November 15—2¢
$3850/0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 15←
22¢—$1.9K0/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 15←—22¢
$1.9K0/0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 15
45¢—$7770/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 15—45¢
$7770/0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 15
30¢—$1.7K0/0Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 15—30¢
$1.7K0/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 22¢
YES 13%NO 88%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 22¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
$365
$1.4K
+11 new YES+30 new NO · 7 smart whales
$125 bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on NO
YES 0NO 3one dot = one wallet
0 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 9h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $88 is directional: YES $3·NO $85YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+147.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$220
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+5.3%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 69¢·129.3 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $89 · WR 87.7%
H
HWReborn🥈
Entry 79¢·70 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $55 · WR 55.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 77¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $31 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 76¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 71.9%
R
Roflan-ludoman
Entry 78¢·19.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 58.1%
H
heyhighhhui2
Entry 76¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 61.6%
N
Near-Science
Entry 77¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 57.6%
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