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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$1.7K
40 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 32 traders · 1 on both sides

Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $6.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 30¢
YES 38%NO 63%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 30¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+17 new YES · 2 smart whales+21 new NO · 5 smart whales
$79 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 9h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $63 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $16·NO $38
YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+40.3%)
Whales
3
T
TakeYourTemperature🥇
Entry 32¢·40 shares
$-1INV $13 · WR 68.6%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥈hedged
Entry 21¢·20 shares·also $24 on NO
+$2INV $4 · WR 58.1%
N
newbie147🥉
Entry 9¢·40 shares
+$8INV $4 · WR 70.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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