EconomicsResolved
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$235.07M
113,102 trades
Smart Whales
3297
of 29,077 traders
Smart Money Consensus
855 YESvs2442 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $87.3K is directional: YES $87.2K·NO $105YES Team
Total Invested
$1.12M
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$91.4K(-8.2%)
Whales
855
X
xule🥇
Entry 25¢·310,000 shares
Invested
$76.2K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-76234
$-76234INV $76.2K · WR 60.9%
I
Immense-Predecessor🥈
Entry 49¢·19,975 shares
Invested
$9.7K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-9732
$-9732INV $9.7K · WR 89.0%
H
Hersheys🥉
Entry 4¢·110,912.7 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-3936
$-3936INV $3.9K · WR 73.8%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 6¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-1140
$-1140INV $1.1K · WR 81.6%
6
6557ahedged
Entry 0¢·112,787.6 shares·also $111.2K on NO
Invested
$251
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-251
$-251INV $251 · WR 83.7%
P
PaulToy
Entry 0¢·80,000 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $126 · WR 80.1%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 0¢·186.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 77.3%
Showing top 7 of 855
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.18M
Avg Win Rate
69.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$15.27M(+700.2%)
Whales
2,442
H
humanbeans🥇
Entry 22¢·1,096,532.5 shares
Invested
$236.0K
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$860515
+$860515INV $236.0K · WR 67.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 58¢·383,602.7 shares
Invested
$222.3K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$161299
+$161299INV $222.3K · WR 57.7%
D
debased◆Proven🥉
Entry 32¢·641,921 shares
Invested
$205.5K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$436464
+$436464INV $205.5K · WR 65.9%
S
scottxia1988
Entry 11¢·1,869,999.9 shares
Invested
$202.3K
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$1667734
+$1667734INV $202.3K · WR 80.2%
6
6557ahedged
Entry 99¢·112,787.7 shares·also $251 on YES
Invested
$111.2K
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
+$1579
+$1579INV $111.2K · WR 83.7%
R
risk-manager
Entry 1¢·1,786,230.5 shares
Invested
$19.7K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$1766564
+$1766564INV $19.7K · WR 73.6%
A
asdasdrgdfg
Entry 0¢·1,196,675.5 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$1191069
+$1191069INV $5.6K · WR 91.8%
W
Wolibear
Entry 0¢·3,295,459.2 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$3289863
+$3289863INV $5.6K · WR 75.8%
J
JAHODA
Entry 1¢·768,811.9 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$763943
+$763943INV $4.9K · WR 87.4%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 1¢·755,908.2 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$751327
+$751327INV $4.6K · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 2,442
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1795ms