PaulToy · Polymarket wallet 0xadb4…3214

+$39,548 lifetime P&L · 80.1% win rate · 196 resolved markets · 0xadb4e00b535ae36532764ddfcdbafe48a23f3214

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Wallet snapshot

PaulToy has made 5,087 trades on Polymarket across 200 markets, $2.5M in volume. Most of it is in sports (48%) and crypto (14%). On 196 resolved markets the win rate is 80.1%, lifetime P&L +$40K. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $32 · 90¢ → 87¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $30 · 88¢ → 87¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $15 · 91¢ → 91¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $9 · 95¢ → 87¢

Latest closed positions

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$2 · Oct 8, 2026
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$3 · Aug 25, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 25, 2026
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No · +$2 · Aug 25, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 25, 2026
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No · +$0 · Jul 8, 2026
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No · +$1 · Jul 8, 2026
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$1 · Jul 8, 2026

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