Politics2 days left

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YES Price
49¢
49% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$529.6K
4,079 trades
Smart Whales
166
of 851 traders · 2 on both sides

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

10 MARKETS · $4.25M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

61 YESvs107 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 44 YES vs 37 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 72%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$13.5K+22 new NO$6.7K
$4.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$468 of $71.9K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $46.9K·NO $24.5K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer…