Politics63 days left
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$68.7K
1,265 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 292 traders
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
2 MARKETS · $125.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs41 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$160
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$78(-48.6%)
Whales
12
C
controls🥇
Entry 85¢·89 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $76 · WR 72.8%
I
itsjustcheddar🥈
Entry 50¢·51 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $25 · WR 82.2%
K
ksquare🥉
Entry 19¢·51 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 78.5%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 5¢·125.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $6 · WR 66.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 79.5%
Showing top 5 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.7K(+61.1%)
Whales
41
S
ScottyNooo🥇
Entry 80¢·2,712.3 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $2.2K · WR 56.1%
B
BetterFish🥈
Entry 85¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$848
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $848 · WR 69.4%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 11¢·2,253 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1709
+$1709INV $243 · WR 85.7%
H
Hjklm
Entry 92¢·137.9 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $127 · WR 88.3%
4
0x4e25605f...
Entry 94¢·126 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $118 · WR 69.3%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 94¢·125.7 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $118 · WR 66.1%
N
NoMoreMister
Entry 70¢·107.3 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $75 · WR 88.3%
Z
Zarshka
Entry 92¢·80 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $74 · WR 62.5%
R
rated
Entry 85¢·75 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $64 · WR 87.6%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 84¢·75 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $63 · WR 83.9%
Showing top 10 of 41
Smart Whale Trades
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