Politics103 days left
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$85.3K
1,669 trades
Smart Whales
66
of 342 traders
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
2 MARKETS · $152.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs53 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%
+1 new YES$2+1 new NO$21
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.5K is directional: YES $6·NO $3.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$862(-81.1%)
Whales
13
J
J-E-R🥇hedged
Entry 85¢·1,055.4 shares·also $389 on NO
Invested
$893
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-798
$-798INV $893 · WR 58.8%
C
controls🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·89 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$76
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $76 · WR 71.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 11¢·312.8 shares·also $575 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $34 · WR 57.6%
U
UbuntuTradinghedged
Entry 5¢·125.7 shares·also $118 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 66.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 9¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 68.1%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 0¢·51 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 80.7%
Showing top 6 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.2K(+62.6%)
Whales
53
S
ScottyNooo🥇
Entry 83¢·2,915.9 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$226
+$226INV $2.4K · WR 55.9%
B
BetterFish◆Proven🥈
Entry 85¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$848
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $848 · WR 70.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 91¢·630.3 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$575
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $575 · WR 57.6%
J
J-E-Rhedged
Entry 20¢·1,950.4 shares·also $893 on YES
Invested
$389
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$1386
+$1386INV $389 · WR 58.8%
Z
zerone777
Entry 93¢·367.6 shares
Invested
$343
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $343 · WR 86.1%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 11¢·2,253 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1807
+$1807INV $243 · WR 85.8%
K
kaxel78
Entry 93¢·212 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $198 · WR 85.4%
K
klli27
Entry 93¢·205.2 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $192 · WR 86.0%
H
Hjklm
Entry 31¢·524.7 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$315
+$315INV $163 · WR 87.7%
L
Likaseent
Entry 93¢·128.9 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $120 · WR 80.1%
Showing top 10 of 53
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